The Five Annual Meeting Of The Six China Chemical Fiber Association Focuses On Hot Topics In The Industry
What are the operational characteristics of China's chemical fiber industry in 2018? What is the current development situation?
How do we view the phenomenon of large private chemical fiber enterprises entering the refining and chemical industry?
How will we look at this new investment boom when the delivery date of Bama is winding up to 2021?
What are the development priorities of the chemical fiber industry in 2019?
In March 11th, the sixth fifth annual meeting of the China Chemical Fiber Industry Association and the high quality development forum of China's chemical fiber industry were held in Shanghai.
Industry economic data performed well in 2018.
Gao Yong, secretary and Secretary General of the China Textile Industry Federation, pointed out that all indicators of China's textile industry have entered a low growth stage in the past year.
Although China's chemical fiber production exceeded 50 million tons last year, the growth rate of fiber processing in the entire textile industry has maintained a low growth rate of around 3%, and China's textile industry has maintained a low growth rate for three or four consecutive years.
Nevertheless, as the industry has accelerated the pace of structural adjustment, the profit margin has maintained a good performance in recent years.
"Overall, China's textile industry is still at a stage of steady development.
China's textile industry is a highly market-oriented industry, and its development is in line with the law of economic development.
Gao Yong said.
Duan Xiaoping, vice president of China Textile Industry Federation and President of China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, said that under the background of stable development of China's textile industry, the overall economic data of the chemical fiber industry in 2018 remained good.
Xiaoping also focused on the three characteristics of the economic operation of the chemical fiber industry in 2018.
First, the operation of chemical fiber market is like "roller coaster", especially the polyester industry is affected by crude oil prices and other factors.
In this context, the operation of chemical fiber enterprises is divided, resources are further concentrated on dominant enterprises, and the operation of the industry presents a "head effect". In 2019, the industry will continue this trend.
"Resources here include capital, customer resources, government resources, etc. small businesses are faced with financial pressure, and customer resources are further concentrated on large enterprises. At the same time, the ability of large enterprises to acquire government resources is much stronger than that of small enterprises."
Xiaoping said.
Second, the differentiation and market segmentation advantages further appear, and the "subdivision" effect appears.
Xiaoping pointed out that Sheng Hong is a well differentiated enterprise in large polyester enterprises.
When the big market is good, the advantages of such enterprises may not be able to appear. But when the market is not good, the advantages of enterprises such as Sheng Hong, which have the advantage of differentiation, are easy to emerge.
"This is the best reward for innovation.
Enterprises should realize that single products may imitate well, but the innovation mode that is accumulated over time is difficult to copy.
Xiaoping stressed.
Third, the industrial chain collaboration has been gradually strengthened. The relationship between chemical fiber enterprises and downstream brands is becoming more and more close. Many chemical fiber enterprises have established a strategic partnership with brand dealers.
End Xiaoping analysis pointed out that, when the chemical fiber industry shifted from the seller's market to the buyer's market, under the background of the structural reform of the supply side continued to push forward, in recent years, the chemical fiber industry continued to promote the influence of fiber products in the downstream sectors.
"5 years ago, the total number of people coming from the downstream business was less than 1/5, but in 2018, the number of people coming from downstream accounts for more than 2/3.
It can be said that the chemical fiber industry is no longer a "Wang Po selling melon", downstream customers have gradually accepted through the Chinese fiber fashion trend publishing platform to select good chemical fiber products and enterprises.
In the past, the brand was picked up by many brands.
The branding of raw materials suppliers and their close cooperation with terminal brands have become a trend, which is inextricably linked to the promotion of China's textile fashion trends and the promotion of yarn exhibitions.
Xiaoping stressed.
Affirmation of large-scale chemical fiber group's entry into refining and chemical industry
In recent years, with the gradual liberalization of private capital in the field of refining and chemical industry, Hengli Group, Hengyi group, Rongsheng group, Tong Kun group and Sheng Hong group have been involved in refinery and petrochemical projects.
At the meeting, Xiaoping gave a high degree of affirmation to this phenomenon.
He said: "we are full of confidence."
Xiaoping pointed out that the reasons for optimism mainly include three aspects.
First, chemical fiber enterprises entering the refining and chemical industry will change the pattern of China's refining and chemical industry and even the world's refining and chemical industry.
"At the end of 1990s, private chemical fiber enterprises entered the polyester industry.
Their development has not only changed the pattern of China's polyester industry, but also changed the pattern of the polyester industry in the world.
Nowadays, China's polyester has become the most competitive industry in the world's polyester industry.
Later, when the chemical fiber enterprises entered the PTA industry, the competition pattern of the PTA industry in China and the world changed.
Therefore, when China's chemical fiber enterprises enter the refining and chemical industry, it will change the pattern of the world refining and chemical industry. "
Xiaoping said.
The two is the chemical fiber enterprises entering the refining and chemical industry. It highlights the characteristics of the most economical investment, the largest equipment and the most advanced technology. It will provide a good quality and cost-effective raw material guarantee for the chemical fiber industry, and will further benefit the chemical fiber industry in China. This will guarantee the competitiveness of China's chemical fiber industry to a certain extent.
And when the overall competitiveness of the chemical fiber industry is enhanced, it will feed upstream refinery industry.
This will form a positive interaction.
Three, the chemical fiber enterprises of the upstream refining and chemical projects themselves are large enterprises. They have a complete industrial chain and strong ability to resist risks. By adjusting their load in many links, they can achieve the goal of reducing risks and maximizing profits.
Five key points for Industry Development in 2019
At the end of Xiaoping's view, the market of chemical fiber industry began to pick up in 2017, and the operation of the industry in 2018 continued to grow on 2017.
To this end, the development of chemical fiber industry in 2019 must grasp the following key points.
First, continue to promote structural reform of the supply side, in addition to innovation, to prevent pressure on new production capacity is too large.
"Bmag's winding head appeared again until 2021, when the situation was last around 2010.
In this regard, enterprises should remain rational. In recent years, the structural reform of the supply side of the industry has been fruitful, and the current economy is still under pressure. If enterprises are doing as quickly as they have done before, they will be worrisome.
Under the present circumstances, technological progress is accelerating, and the equipment that enterprises are now ordering is likely to lag behind in two or three years. Therefore, the ordering equipment of chemical fiber enterprises should take 2~3 years as a cycle and carry out installments and batches of orders, so that on the one hand, it can guarantee the advanced nature of technology and equipment, and on the other hand, it can guarantee the bargaining power of equipment manufacturers.
Xiaoping said.
Second, continue to promote green development.
Next, the industry should continue to do well in the upgrading and development of the ten technologies for energy saving and emission reduction. We should continue to do a good job in the certification and maintenance of green fibers. We should continue to work well in the "green fiber development alliance (CV)" and the production of polyester green catalysts.
Take the work of "renewable cellulose fiber industry green development alliance (CV)" as an example: the alliance was founded in March 2018, and proposed to promote the CV alliance's green environmental protection level to lead the world in 3 years.
Xiaoping pointed out that the regenerated cellulose fiber is the second largest chemical fiber variety, and is one of the important raw materials for the cotton spinning industry.
There is no doubt that this variety is very important and we must solve its survival and development problems.
Therefore, the industry should walk on "two legs". First, we should improve the traditional technology and raise the level of energy conservation and emission reduction. We should not eliminate the capacity to eliminate production capacity, but we should gradually improve the development level of the industry. We should also realize that the new solvent process is still difficult to replace most of the capacity of the regenerated cellulose fiber industry, and the change of industry still takes a long time.
The two is to further develop the new solvent spinning technology, that is to further develop the Le cel fiber.
"Green development is a major trend both in China and around the world."
Xiaoping said.
Third, focus on AI and big data.
When information technology is injected into traditional industries, there will be no traditional industries in the traditional sense. This is also a "sharp weapon" for China's chemical fiber industry to compete with advanced markets.
Xiaoping pointed out that "Ai + industry" helps to generate new formats and business models.
Artificial intelligence technology has been emerging in medical, industrial, agricultural, financial and other industries.
Different industries have different forms of artificial intelligence technology, application scenarios and their impacts.
There are also differences in the acceptance of AI among different industries.
At present, the big data, Internet applications, industrial robots, intelligent business in the field of artificial intelligence provide key support for the textile and chemical fiber industry.
He pointed out that the application of artificial intelligence in the chemical fiber industry can be roughly divided into three stages: the first stage is to improve the degree of automation and reduce the labor intensity of the workers; the second stage is the machine replacement and the human machine separation; the third stage is to produce a large amount of data, and to process and apply the data.
"Machine substitution is the trend of the times. The progress of science and technology is changing the human society. The traditional industry is facing the risk of being eliminated. Accelerating pformation and upgrading is the inevitable choice for the future development of the manufacturing industry.
Not only because of the rise of labor costs, the use of machines and automation can not only solve the labor shortage, but also improve efficiency, so as to achieve the effect of rapid manufacturing to meet individual needs.
With the rapid development of artificial intelligence, Internet of things and cloud computing technology, the manufacturing industry will become more intelligent in the future. When users customize products, they can master the progress of production at any time, or know when to place orders, and which factories can receive goods most quickly.
On the other hand, enterprises can make greater use of machine resources.
From the level of industrial enterprises, upgrading the level of automatic production can preempt the market.
Xiaoping said.
Fourth, focus on new products.
Xiaoping said that the industry and enterprises should further promote the localization of the fiber and further develop polylactic acid fiber, corn fiber and other varieties.
China's chemical fiber industry has made breakthroughs in the raw liquor coloring and low temperature dyeing, and their industrialization is likely to accelerate in the future.
Xiaoping also stressed that the industry should continue to focus on carbon fiber.
Although carbon fiber is not a new product, the development of carbon fiber is related to the upgrading of China's textile industry.
"For a less appropriate example, if we compare the Chinese textile industry to" table tennis ", carbon fiber is like the" football "of the textile industry.
Our table tennis can be said to be able to play all over the world, but now the most important thing is football.
Although China's carbon fiber industry has made a lot of achievements, it still has a certain gap with the world's most advanced level, so China's efforts should continue to develop carbon fiber.
Xiaoping said.
Fifth, we must keep a close eye on national policies.
Local enterprises should pay close attention to local policies and focus on how to bring good projects into the basket of national policies and seek better development.
Gao Yong also put forward two suggestions for the following development ideas of China's chemical fiber industry: first, speed up the structural adjustment of traditional products, make differentiation and promote the development of high quality enterprises; two, promote the rapid development of functional fiber and green fiber products, in particular, speed up the further development of high-performance fibers, and constantly expand their production and application.
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